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India, EU set to sign historic trade pact 

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India, EU set to sign historic trade pact

New Delhi and Brussels are finally ready to uncork the champagne. After 18 years of start-stop negotiations, diplomatic frost, and bureaucratic wrangling, India and the European Union are set to announce the signing a historic Free Trade Agreement today.  

Dubbed the ‘mother of all deals’ by Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal, this pact is not merely a tariff-slashing exercise. It is a fundamental rewiring of India’s economic and strategic circuit board, designed to diversify supply chains away from a volatile China and an increasingly protectionist United States. 

The headline grabber is undoubtedly the automotive sector. For decades, India has guarded its car market with a fortress of tariffs ranging from 70 per cent to a staggering 110 per cent. This wall is now set to crumble, albeit selectively. Under the new deal, India will slash import duties on European cars to 40 per cent. This concession, however, comes with fine print that reveals the government’s balancing act between liberalisation and domestic protectionism. The reduced rate applies only to a quota of 200,000 combustion-engine vehicles annually and is restricted to luxury models priced above 15,000 euros (approx. Rs. 13.5 lakh). 

This is a tactical win for European giants like Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Volkswagen. These manufacturers have long complained that India’s prohibitive tax structure made it impossible to test the waters with niche models without committing to expensive local assembly lines. A 40 per cent duty regime allows them to import completely built units at a competitive price point, effectively using imports as a market-seeding strategy before localising production. Over time, this duty is expected to taper further to 10 per cent, signalling a long-term integration of the Indian automotive market with global standards. 

However, the deal stops short of a free-for-all. In a clear nod to the sensitivities of domestic heavyweights like Tata Motors and Mahindra & Mahindra, electric vehicles have been explicitly carved out of the initial tariff cuts. The 40 per cent rate will not apply to EVs for the first five years. This “infant industry” protection is designed to give Indian automakers a runway to solidify their dominance in the electrification race before facing the full brunt of European competition. It is a strategic pause, ensuring that by the time the floodgates open in 2031, Indian EVs are robust enough to hold their ground. 

Beyond the showroom floor, the agreement marks a significant deepening of strategic ties. The deal extends well beyond goods to encompass services, investment, and perhaps most significantly, worker mobility. A new framework will facilitate the movement of Indian students, researchers, and skilled professionals into the EU. This is not just about visas; it is about creating a knowledge corridor that leverages India’s demographic dividend to plug Europe’s ageing workforce gaps. For the Indian services sector, which has often found itself stonewalled by non-tariff barriers in Europe, this mobility pact is the true prize. 

Defence cooperation is the third pillar of this historic triad. As geopolitical fault lines widen, New Delhi and Brussels are formalising a Security and Defence Strategic Partnership. This includes collaboration on cybersecurity, maritime safety, and counter-terrorism. The presence of EU naval personnel in the Republic Day parade was more than ceremonial; it was a statement of intent. The EU is no longer just a trading bloc for India but a security partner in the Indo-Pacific, a region where both powers have a vested interest in maintaining a rules-based order. 

The economic imperative for this deal is stark. Bilateral trade in goods already exceeds 120 billion euros, with services adding another 83 billion euros. Yet, Indian exporters have faced headwinds, particularly in traditional strongholds like textiles and gems, which have been battered by high tariffs in other markets. The US, once a reliable destination, has become unpredictable with its own tariff escalations. This FTA offers Indian exporters a stable, high-value alternative. It opens up a market of 450 million affluent consumers to Indian apparel, leather, and machinery, providing a critical buffer against global trade turbulence. 

Critics might argue that the timeline for legal scrubbing—expected to take another five to six months—means the benefits will not be immediate. But the political signal sent today is unambiguous. India is shedding its historic inhibition towards comprehensive trade pacts. By signing a deal of this magnitude with a regulatory superpower like the EU, India is signalling that it is ready to play by high-standard global trade rules. 

The ‘mother of all deals’ is essentially a bet on the future. It bets that Indian manufacturing can compete without high walls, that Indian services can thrive in high-regulation environments, and that the strategic convergence between the world’s largest democracy and its largest single market is more than just diplomatic rhetoric. As the ink dries in New Delhi today, the real work of integration begins. The walls are coming down, and the bridge to Europe is finally open.